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CERTAIN BARRIERS TO ADEQUATE DOD MARKET GROWTH RATE WITHOUT FPUP

• DURATION OF CLASSICAL AQUISITION PROCESS

(EXPANDED PRESENTATION IN LOWER EXHIBIT).

• LARGE COST EFFECTIVE DOD MARKET CAPTURE POTENTIAL PREMISED ON FIRST ACHIEVING LIFE CYCLE COST
EFFECTIVENESS THROUGH INITIATION OF LOW COST PRODUCTION TECHNIQUES USING EXISTING AUTOMATED
TECHNOLOGY.

• LIFE CYCLE COSTING, IN GENERAL, MAY REQUIRE SEVERAL YEARS BEFORE TRANSITION TO FULL ACCEPTANCE
BY THE FEDERAL (LE. EXECUTIVE/LEGISLATIVE) BUDGET PROCESS OCCURS (EG, 20 YEAR "BUDGET” VS. ANNUAL
BUDGET CYCLE).

• LIFE CYCLE COSTING, IN PARTICULAR, NOT YET ACCEPTED THROUGHOUT USER INFRASTRUCTURE : (FPUP, IN
NEAR TERM COULD BYPASS SUCH RESISTANCE, AND, IN LONG TERM, LEAD TO USER ACCEPTANCE OF LIFE-
CYCLE COSTING)

• NORMAL INSTITUTIONAL RESISTANCE TO ANY NEW PRODUCT -- IRRESPECTIVE OF LIFE-CYCLE OR FIRST COST
EFFECTIVENESS

• OTHER BARRIERS DISCUSSED IN REFERENCE NUMBER 1.

BENEFITS OFTEN DO NOT ACCRUE TO OFFICIAL MAKING EXPENDITURE, E.G., NATIONAL BENEFIT VS. AGENCY
COST. O&M, AND FUEL BUDGET CENTER VS SUPPLY BUDGET CENTER, ETC.

NATIONAL BENEFITS OFTEN IGNORED

RECOMMENDED DOD ACTIONS TO EXPEDITE PROGRAM

DEVELOP DETAILED INVENTORY OF DOD GENERATORS BY SIZE/APPLICATION/DUTY CYCLE

• PRIORITIZE APPLICATIONS FOR CONVERSION TO PHOTOVOLTAICS, E.G.

- REMOTE TEST SITE USES

- REMOTE COMMUNICATIONS SITES

- SUBCOMPONENTS OF OOD REMOTE ISLAND POWER SYSTEMS

- LIGHTING POWER

ESTABLISH PV SYSTEM PERFORMANCE CRITERIA UTILIZING COMMERCIAL GRADE PERFORMANCE CRITERIA
WHEREVER POSSIBLE

ESTABLISH AN ACCELERATED DOD APPLICATIONS ENGINEERING PROGRAM TO PRODUCE FAMILIES OF MILITARY
PHTOTVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS TO REPLACE CONVENTIONAL SYSTEMS (EG, 15-10KW GASOLINE DRIVEN ENGINE
GENERATOR SETS)

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Exhibit 21.

Barriers to Adequate DoD Market Growth Rate Without FPUP, Time Factors in the Normal Acquisition Process, and Possible DoD Actions to Expedite FPUP Program

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Photovoltaic power systems comparable to those required for the FPUP program are already being demonstrated. Two units developed under the ERDA/MERADCOM demonstration program are illustrated in Exhibits 22 and 23. Rapid early identification and development of demonstration units for other comparable applications should aid in reducing system engineering bottlenecks when large volume array delivery begins.

Exhibit 22 shows a portion of the array for a reverse osmosis field water purification unit. The unit requires a 10.7 KWp array for operating power, and it is capable of producing potable drinking water from rivers, lakes, and brackish water sources. Such water purification systems are readily applicable for non-Do D uses, particularly in lesser developed nations.

The photographs in the Exhibit 23 show a tactical field telephone switching system with the array retracted ready to be transported, and with the array unfolded in operating position. Each of the two panels has a 1.2 KWp rating and the total area is 200 square feet. Lead acid batteries provide a 375 amp-hrs of electricity storage at 48 volts for use during periods of low available solar insolation. The use of more tightly packed, higher efficiency solar cells could decrease panel area by a factor of two.

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Exhibit 23. Tactical Field Telephone Switching System with the Array Retracted Ready to be Transported, and with the Array

Unfolded in Operating Position

REFERENCES

1.

2.

"Solar Heating and Cooling of Buildings (SHACOB) Commercialization Report," prepared by Midwest Research Institute for the Federal Energy Administration, July, 1977.

"The federal government is involved in accelerated commercialization of solar energy because the overall benefits derived from the widespread use of solar energy go beyond the directly calculable economic factors. As stated in the Energy Reorganization Act of 1974 (PL 93-438), Section 2(e):

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Determination of priorities which are warranted should be based on such considerations as power-related values of an energy source, preservation of material resources, reduction of pollutants, export market potential (including reduction of imports), among others. On such a basis, energy sources warranting priority might include, but not be limited to, the various methods of utilizing solar energy'."

"DOD Photovoltaic Energy Conversion Systems Market Inventory and Analysis," prepared by the BDM Corporation for FEA/MERADCOM, June, 1977.

Private communication with Monsanto, Solar Power, Dow Corning

3.

4.

Private communication with Texas Instruments, Dow Corning

5.

Private communication with Texas Instruments, GEOS Corporation,
Spectrolab

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7.

8.

9.

10.

11.

12.

NASA CR-135095: "Demonstration of the Feasibility of Automated
Silicon Solar Cell Fabrication," Prepared by Spectrolab, 1976.

Spectrolab for FEA: Project Independence Blueprint. RCA's ERDA/JPC
954352-76/3 Automated Array Assembly. Quarterly Report No. 3.

Draft Version of RCA's Annual Report to ERDA/JPL.

Perspectives on Experience, The Boston Consulting Group, Inc.

Letter dated June 21, 1977 from Mr. Anthony W. Adler, Director,
Solar Energy Services, Muller and Company, New York to the Honorable
Richard L. Ottinger.

BDM-Solarex estimates.

13.

14.

(Same as 11)

"DOD Photovoltaic Energy Conversion Systems Market Inventory and
Analysis," prepared by the BDM Corporation for FEA/MERADCOM, June,
1977.

15. "Comparative Analysis of Conceptual Design Studies," B.W. Marshall, Sandia Laboratories, Winter 1977.

16. "Conceptual Design and Systems Analysis of Photovoltaic Systems," Report No. ALO-3686-14, prepared by General Electric Corporation for ERDA, March 1977.

17. Energy Research Digest, July 4, 1977.

18. Federal Energy Administration, Solar Energy Government Buildings Program, A Federal Procurement Plan to Accelerate Use of Solar Energy, prepared by Don Sowle Associates, Inc., December 1976, p. 46.

19.

"DOD Photovoltaic Energy Conversion Systems Market Inventory and Analysis," prepared by the BDM Corporation for FEA/MERADCOM, June, 1977.

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